Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.263800 1.524488 1.847000 2.283191 2.870380 3.652963 4.810336e+00
2025-01-19 0.890545 1.180213 1.590539 2.242483 3.312476 5.128822 8.805261e+00
2025-01-26 0.740205 1.051080 1.539183 2.423767 4.156408 7.902356 1.887453e+01
2025-02-02 0.634711 0.947901 1.479167 2.548239 4.985692 11.630420 4.147739e+01
2025-02-09 0.544314 0.842388 1.377026 2.541283 5.540363 15.587717 8.770915e+01
2025-02-16 0.469866 0.746416 1.263497 2.460122 5.863088 19.548720 1.851707e+02
2025-02-23 0.425310 0.694075 1.218906 2.515691 6.639930 27.451270 6.397399e+02
2025-03-02 0.393856 0.659590 1.200943 2.629635 7.745561 41.548614 6.462637e+03
2025-03-09 0.360754 0.616040 1.153171 2.645871 8.539907 58.556281 1.003383e+08
2025-03-16 0.325579 0.563082 1.073528 2.542155 8.750555 72.661468 NaN
2025-03-23 0.307961 0.543123 1.065488 2.653427 10.167554 121.216306 NaN
2025-03-30 0.288076 0.515594 1.033840 2.678299 11.210965 189.434532 NaN
2025-04-06 0.264883 0.478793 0.974382 2.593996 11.568095 260.366695 NaN
2025-04-13 0.245897 0.449064 0.928199 2.543790 12.163013 392.840184 NaN
2025-04-20 0.239386 0.445900 0.950005 2.758638 15.271234 1331.242502 NaN
2025-04-27 0.230630 0.436500 0.953376 2.906919 18.365398 6639.267042 NaN
2025-05-04 0.217727 0.416030 0.922423 2.898581 19.955096 36626.693848 NaN
2025-05-11 0.203581 0.391230 0.875341 2.801771 20.364085 260859.993693 NaN
2025-05-18 0.195290 0.379459 0.864098 2.868026 23.294522 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.189361 0.372695 0.866487 3.004168 28.106062 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.181127 0.359464 0.847133 3.023599 31.244040 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.170481 0.339361 0.803729 2.899611 31.118795 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.166023 0.334272 0.806688 3.032644 37.873799 NaN NaN